ACHIEVING GROWTH THROUGH INTEGRATION[1]

By: Temitope W. Oshikoya, PhD, FCIB

Director General, West African Monetary Institute

Accra, Ghana

                                                                                   

I.       Introduction

It is a great honour and pleasure for me to be here today to address you on the occasion of the 12th Annual African Business Conference. I would like to extend my special thanks to the President and Co-Presidents, for hosting of this event and also thank the Panel Organizers and all those who have been instrumental in making this conference a success.

 

The Harvard Business School (HBS) has good reasons to proudly organize this Annual African Business Conference. Founded in 1908, the HBS has drawn on their passion for teaching, experience in working with organizations worldwide, and the insights gained from research to educate generations of leaders with ideas that have shaped the practice of management in vital organizations of all kinds around the globe.

 

The HBS has broad and deep ties with executives, scholars, alumni and other leaders and their organizations worldwide. The school has maintained an unparallel global network of research centers and offices in key cities around the world.

 

The case method, the cornerstone of the school’s renowned general management approach provides students with the transcendent skills, insights, and self-confidence required to meet interdisciplinary demands of real business situations. Nearly 80 percent of cases used at business schools worldwide are developed by HBS.

 

In addition to being leaders in their academic fields, many of HBS Faculty also have    hands-on business experience as consultants, entrepreneur, investors, advisors, board members, and executives.

 

I am delighted to have this opportunity to share my thoughts with you on Achieving growth through Economic Integration.

 

This dialogue is taking place against the backdrop of a global financial crisis, with some calling for a retreat from globalization and regionalization. Thus, the quality and depth of our deliberations today will play a significant role in providing insight into the roles of regional economic integration in our continent.

 

Following this introduction, the paper is divided into five sections. Section 2 raises the issue why regional integration in Africa. Section 3 discusses the benefits of regional economic integration, while section 4 focuses on Africa’s experience with regional integration, in relation to its history, institutions, challenges and achievements made so far. Section 5 is centred on the WAMZ experience with regional economic integration. Section 6 proposes a developmental and holistic approach to regional economic integration, while Section 7 concludes the paper.

 

2          Why Regional Integration in Africa?

 

The foundation pillars for regional integration in Africa are rooted in the continent’s geography, geology, demography, history and economy.

 

Geography: The geographical landscape reveals that, Africa is a vast and land rich continent with a total land area of nearly 30 million square kilometers, about three times the size of the United States and ten times the size of India. Its sheer land area dwarfs that of the combined major economies of  the world, including that of the USA, Western Europe, Japan, China, India and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, which average 27.8 million square kilometers (See Figure 1). Africa covers about 6 percent of the Earth’s total surface area and 20.4 percent of the total land area.

 

 It is the second largest continent in the world after Asia. The African landscape is a rich and dynamic mosaic of resources, which includes forests and woodlands, arable land, mountains, deserts, coastal lands and freshwater systems that holds vast opportunities for development and improving human well-being if managed sustainably. Although mainly arid and semi-arid, Africa has significant freshwater resources to harness and expand irrigated agriculture and enhance food production, and yet governments often depend on food imports and/or humanitarian aid.

                       

Geology: Africa is endowed with mineral and natural resources with large parts of its terrain teeming with wild life and magnificent plant life. The continent is blessed with an impressive endowment of mineral wealth, including near-global monopolies of platinum, chromium and diamond; a high proportion of the world’s gold, cobalt and manganese; and extensive reserves of bauxite, coal, uranium, copper and nickel. Table 1 illustrates Africa’s domination of some of the world’s mineral resources supply. For example, it is the top producer of platinum, cobalt, vanadium, diamonds and gold and has very large shares of world reserves.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Figure 1: land Area (Millions sq Km)

 

 

Table 1: Africa’s Mineral and Oil Reserves

Commodity

Africa

World

% of World Total

Platinum group metal (t)

63,000

71,000

89

Diamond (million carats)

350

580

60

Cobalt (t)

3,690,000

7,000,000

53

Zirconium (t)

14

38

37

Gold (t)

10,059

35,941

28

Vanadium (t)

3,000,000

13,000,000

23

Uranium (t)

656

4,416

15

Manganese (kt)

52,000

380,000

14

Chromium (t)

100,000

810,000

12

Titanium (kt)

63,000

660,000

10

Nickel (kt)

4,205

62,000

7

Coal (mt)

55,367

984,453

6

Oil proved (b)

117.5

1,237.9

9.5

Oil production(b)

10,318

81,533

13.0

Oil export (b)

8,165

54,824

14.9

Source: BP Statistics Review of Work Energy, 2007

Africa possesses 99 percent of the world's chrome resources, 89 percent of its platinum, 70 percent of its tantalite, 53 percent of its cobalt, 60 percent of its diamond and 28 percent of its gold among others (See Table 1). It has significant oil and gas reserves. Of the proved oil reserves, Africa account for 9.5 percent of the global total. Nigeria, Algeria, Angola and Libya are four of the leading oil producing countries in the world. Africa also has substantial quantities of the world’s remaining natural gas.

 

Furthermore, Africa is home to timber deposits and its enormous agricultural potential is vastly untapped. The vast mineral wealth and strategic significance have encouraged foreign powers to intervene in African affairs. However, its industrial base is insignificant on the global market, and the majority of its people live in growing poverty. Africa has numerous tourist attractions, ranging from wildlife to cultural heritage, and yet it contributes only 4 percent annually to the multi-million dollar global tourism industry[2].

 

The continent has failed to tap the potential for its natural resources wealth to serve as a driver for industrialization, economic growth, poverty reduction and sustainable development. Indeed, many African countries are rich in natural resources, but this has not always been a blessing, especially for countries with considerable mineral resources[3]. This has become a persistent challenge for sustainable development and natural resource management in Africa. The continent is endowed with natural resources, which it badly needs for its own development, but which others also want. Furthermore, for most African countries, several decades of resource exploitation have not translated into economic growth or improved the livelihoods and welfare of their growing population.

 

Demography: In addition to its abundant supply of land, the continent is blessed with abundant labour supply that is not only youthful, but growing. With a population of slightly below one billion people in the 53 countries, it accounts for about 14.8 percent of the World's human population. Comparatively, Africa’s population is larger than the combined population of the USA, Japan, Western Europe and the GCC countries (See Table 2). Only China and India have more population than Africa. In economic theory, land and labour are considered as two major ingredients for the production process. Given that Africa is endowed with both labour and land, it is therefore justified for the continent to attain sustainable growth. However, irrespective of having abundant supply of land and labour, Africa is sparsely populated, with a population density of 32 persons per square kilometers, representing about one-fourth of the population density of China and one-tenth that of India. A greater part of Africa’s population is made up of active labour force.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table 2: Land Area, Population and Density

Region/Country

Land Area (Millions sq km

Population

Population Density

Africa

29,469,151

     957,565,422

32

China

9,326,410

  1,328,600,000

142

India

2,973,190

  1,169,020,000

393

Japan

   364,500

     127,970,000

351

USA

9,161,920

     305,830,000

33

Western Europe

3,575,430

     405,555,350

113

GCC

2,422,130

       37, 180,000

32

Source: World Bank (2008): World Development Indicators

 

History: From an historical point of view, Africa has the largest number of countries relative to total geographic area of any developing region. It is however considered as being the most fragmented and subdivided continent, with 165 borders demarcating the region into 53 countries— 22 of which have a population of 5 million or less, and 11 of which have a population fewer than 1 million[4]. Africa’s largest economy, South Africa, is only the world’s 27th largest. African countries are also heterogeneous in terms of natural resource endowments and levels of development, and many face physical barriers to greater participation in the regional and global economy. About 40 percent of Africa’s population is in landlocked countries[5]. The continent is characterized by small national markets, limited opportunities to create economies of scale, and high production costs (exacerbated by under-developed infrastructure) that combine to hinder the development of viable African firms and the expansion of trade, both intra-African and between Africa and the rest of the world. As noted by Williamson (2006), “it is not a coincidence that two of the fastest growing countries in the world are the two largest, with populations of over a billion people each. Conversely, one reason for Africa’s disappointing economic performance in recent years has been its division into many small states, one of the unfortunate legacies of colonialism.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Figure 2: Map of Africa

Source: www.africaguide.com/afmap.htm

 

Economy: An integrated single economic space would improve the opportunities for leapfrogging economic development in Africa. Despite being endowed with abundant natural resources and land, Africa has a weak economy in relation to other continents. With an average GDP of just US$ 4 billion and a combined GDP less than that of Spain, African economies are small in absolute terms. The per capita income of Africa is slightly above $1,300, one-third that of Asia, while a country like Spain with a population of about 44 million has a per capita income of approximately $32,500.

 

Furthermore, Nigeria with the highest population of about 148 million in Africa had a GDP of $165.69 billion in 2007, while Belgium with a population of just over 10 million (less than 10% of Nigeria’s population) has a GDP of $458.9 billion, which more than double that of Nigeria. A comparison between Africa and Spain in terms of GDP and per capita income showed that, despite representing about 5 percent of Africa’s population, Spain’s GDP and per capita income are significantly higher than that of Africa (See Figures 3 and 4). Intuitively, the result showed that, Spain has a stronger economy relative to the whole of Africa. In addition, the country is densely populated with a population density of 89, more than twice the population density of Africa

 

 

 

3.       Benefits and costs of Regional Economic Integration

 

Benefits:

 

The ultimate goal of regional integration is to create a common economic space among the participating countries. Monetary and economic integration may evolve from trade links, as well as, historical and cultural ties. The process entails the harmonization of macroeconomic policies, legal frameworks and institutional architectures, towards nominal and real convergence.  The potential benefits from regional economic integration include the following:

 

(i)                 Growth Effects:

 

The standard argument that an economic integration can affect the rate of output growth is realised through a faster growth of factor inputs, particularly return on investment in human and physical capital, and through increases in the growth of total factor productivity. Regional economic integration, which typically encompasses reduction in regional trade barriers and reduction in investment restrictions, can provide an important stimulus that may attract foreign direct investment (FDI) both from within and outside the regional integration arrangement (RIA) as a result of (i) market enlargement, which subsequently serves as an engine for economic growth.

 

(ii)               Pro- Competitive effect

 

Pro-competitive effects may relate to increased scale economies and falling costs through the mechanism by which economic integration changes price cost mark-ups. Economic integration which encourages trade liberalization might successfully erode market power of dominant firms in member countries through market entry of competing firms from other member countries. The effect of trade liberalization arising from economic integration, would result in falling market power and expanded output in imperfectly competitive sectors, thereby reducing average production costs due to mass production, which subsequently increase the welfare of the society and also encourages private sector investment.

 

(iii)             Regional Public Good

 

Developmental and environmental efficiency gains may thus arise from adopting a regionally integrated approach towards the provision of regional public goods (like environment, water management, and migration, all of which have an impact on the economy). Integration can help provide or protect regional public goods that cannot be effectively addressed individually but are best tackled in a cooperative framework. In this regard, economic integration can also be an effective approach towards conflict prevention by establishing ties with economic partners in a region. For this reason regional economic integration may have the potential to complement ongoing efforts to support peace building, and regional good governance initiatives

 

(iv)             Pro-poor growth

 

Economic integration can contribute to pro poor growth by integrating labour markets and lowering the barriers of investment for enterprises. Regional economic integration processes can create single market economies that are characterised by common administrative and juridical procedures, a harmonised application of standards and norms or aligned rules for foreign investors. Creating these solid and effective frameworks for economic operators can help stimulate investment.

 

(v)               Exchange rate risk

 

Economic integration also results in harmonization of the exchange rates of member countries into a unified exchange rate mechanism. This would lead to the elimination of exchange rate risk among member states, and hence encourage increased intra-regional trade and investment

 

 

 

(vi)             Enhance Security and increase bargaining power

 

Regional integration may serve as a platform for enhancing a country’s security in its relationship with other members. The idea that increasing trade reduces the risk of conflict has a distinguished pedigree. Collective bargaining power may help countries to develop common positions and to bargain as a group rather than on a country by country basis, which would contribute to increased visibility, credibility and better negotiation outcomes in international fora such as the IMF, WTO, WB, EPA, G7, among others. Entering into regional trade agreements (RTAs) may also enable government to pursue policies that may improve the welfare of its citizens.  Regional integration arrangement work best as a commitment mechanism for trade policy, and the degree of openness of regional integration arrangement may help discipline in macro economic policies.

 

Costs:

 

Despite the gains associated with regional integration, however, integration can be complicated by perceived losses among the members, including the following:

 

(i)                  Loss of National Sovereignty: Economic integration would result in member countries’ central bank giving up their sole role of conducting monetary policy as well as relinquishing their national currencies.

(ii)                Loss of Revenue- regional integration will reduce government tariff revenue. The reduction in tariff revenue may impact negatively on government’s ability from financing social, health and education programme.

(iii)               Discourage Infant industry- Economic integration would discourage infant industries from external competition, as some sectors in each country would suffer from competition with more efficient producers in the partner markets

 

In summary, regional integration can foster competition, subsidiarity, access to wider market (via trade), larger and diversified investment and production, socio-economic and political stability and bargaining power for the countries involved. It can be multi-dimensional to cover the movement of goods and services (i.e. trade), capital and labour, socio-economic policy coordination and harmonisation, infrastructure development, environmental management, and reforms in other public goods such as governance, peace, defense and security. The overall gains from regional integration cannot be underscored. Regional integration can serves an engine for economic growth. For success, integration thus requires strong commitment in implementing the agreed arrangements, fair mechanisms to arbitrate disputes and equitable distribution of the gains and costs of integration

 

 

Intra-Africa Trade

African integration includes, as one of its objectives, the promotion of intra-regional trade. Despite the long history of regional integration on the continent, intra-African trade remains low in comparison with intraregional trade in other regions.

 

Africa’s share of global export declined from 2.3 percent in 2004 to 2.10 percent in 2007, while Africa’s import as a share of global import slightly fell from 2.20 percent in 2004 to 2.11 percent in 2007 (World Bank data Base, 2008/09).

 

Overall, Africa’s import and export as a share of world trade remained generally low as evident in Table 3. Africa’s export as a share of world export averaged 2.2 percent during 2001-2007, while the corresponding import as a share of world import averaged 2.1 percent during the same period. The low pattern in Africa’s trade is generally attributed to the lack of diversification, due to the high concentration on similar primary commodities and lack of value adding, as well as the exclusion of informal sector trade. The continent is unable to fully utilize its natural resources and take advantage of its size to influence world trade. Some countries face a difficult trade-off between public revenue losses from trade liberalization and the long-term benefits from trade integration. This tends to delay the ratification of trade protocols and postpone their implementation.

 

Table 3: Regional Trade as a % of World Trade (Import and Export)

 

     

 Foreign Direct Investment

Africa remains the region of the world that attracts the least Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows (see Table 4). FDI inflows to Africa as a share of world total was extremely low compared to that of Asia and Latin America. FDI inflows to Africa increased from 0.69 percent in 2000 to 2.72 percent in 2006, and averaged 2.1 percent of world total during the period 2000-2006. In Asia, FDI inflows as a share of world total increased from 10.5 percent in 2000 to 19.9 percent in 2006, while Latin America suffered a slight fall in the share of FDI inflow from 6.9 percent in 2000 to 6.4 percent in 2006. Given the low FDI inflows to Africa in general, it is believed that the formation of regional integration blocs on the continent will serve as a strong pillar to usher in higher FDI to countries in Africa.

 

 

 

 

Table 4: Distribution of world FDI inflows by Region (% of World)

Year/Region

Africa

Asia

Latin America

2000

0.69

10.51

6.93

2001

2.40

13.63

9.42

2002

2.18

15.81

8.73

2003

3.31

20.38

7.92

2004

2.43

22.91

12.71

2005

3.13

22.07

7.99

2006

2.72

19.87

6.41

Source: UNCTAD (2008), FDI database and World investment Directory, Volume x

 Africa

 

4          Africa’s Experience with Regional Integration

 

From the above analysis, it is glaring that Africa’s abundant supply of minerals, labour and land has been under utilized. There is a strong consensus that one of the best ways to bolster Africa’s growth potential and address these constraints is through greater regional and continental economic integration. Regional integration appears to be one of the frameworks to address obstacles in intra-trade in African in order to create larger regional markets that can achieve economies of scale and sustain production systems and market as well as enhance Africa’s competitiveness.

 

 

4.1      History

Since the independence era, almost all Africa countries have embraced regionalism. During the 1960s to 1980s, several intergovernmental economic cooperation organizations were established to promote technical and economic cooperation. The reasons for the establishment of these regional agreements are to expand the growth of intraregional trade through removal of tariff and non-tariff barriers, strengthen regional development through regional infrastructural development, establishment of large scale manufacturing project, allow free movement of factors of production and, promote monetary cooperation. This period was characterized by interventionist and protectionist trade regimes arising from fiscal concern and protection of domestic industry.

 

In response to the deteriorating economic situation in Africa during the 1960s and 1970s, the continent adopted the Lagos Plan of Action (LPA) in 1980, aimed at shifting Africa to a sustainable development path. The LPA was set to achieve three goals: high and sustainable economic growth, transformation of the economic and social structure, and maintenance of a sustainable resource base. However, the overriding objective of the LPA was the achievement of effective regional infrastructure in the domain of an inward-looking regional strategy. In the mid 1980s, individual countries within Africa adopted an outward-oriented strategy as a prerequisite to the Structural Adjustment programme (SAP), aimed at achieving a closer integration of Africa into the global world economy

 

In order to speed up the integration process and achieve sustainable development, Africa countries adopted the Abuja Treaty in 1991, with the aim of establishing the African Economic Communities (AEC) by 2027[6],  with  a common currency, full mobility of factors of production and free movement of good and services among African countries. Furthermore, Africa’s quest to accelerate policy discussion on regional integration, led to the birth of the African Union (AU) in 2001 and the launch of the New Partnership for African Development (NEPAD).

4.1.1    NEPAD and regional integration

The New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD) as the most recent African development initiative also regards the issue of regional integration as one of the key mechanisms to solving Africa’s problems. Regional integration is seen as one of the fundamental ways of tackling Africa’s exclusion from "the malaise of underdevelopment and exclusion in a globalizing world". Another objective of regional integration according to NEPAD “is to bridge existing gaps between Africa and the developed countries so as to improve the continent’s international competitiveness and to enable her to participate in the globalization process".[7]

NEPAD, on several occasions, touched on many of these aims and the motivations for African cooperation and integration. These include the observation that "most African countries are small both in terms of population and per capita income"; the need for Africans to pool their resources and enhance regional development; and the importance of the provision of essential regional public goods, such as transport, energy, water, environmental preservations, disease eradication, and regional research capacity, among others. The existence of NEPAD is in recognition that after many decades of economic and political planning, Africa has not made much progress in the implementation of earlier development plans.

The general requirement of globalization is that countries should become part of international rules and regulations i.e. multi-lateral system of governance. Specifically, this requires increased discipline by governments to maintain sound and consistent macro-economic and structural policies. In this vein, NEPAD seeks to move away from "closed regionalism" to a more open model of “new regionalism” aimed at strengthening the functional and market-based approach to regional integration.

4.2     Institutions (RECs)

 

The desire to overcome the economic disadvantages of fragmentation gave rise to the establishment of a plethora of treaties and regional institutions whose overriding objective was the creation of self-reliant development of Member States. Currently, there are multiple RECs in Africa, many of which have overlapping memberships. The RECs consist primarily of trade blocs, but also embrace political, economic and security cooperation. Following the Lagos Plan of Action (1980) and Abuja Treaty (1991), various regional arrangements on policy coordination, cooperation or integration have been initiated, re-invigorated or re-aligned to continental aspiration on integration in the following sub-regional blocs (See Table 5)

   

     Table 5: Major African RECs

 

 

a.         The South African Development Community (SADC): SADC, which is a Free Trade Area (FTA), was created from the Southern African Development Co-ordination Conference (SADCC) in August 1992 in Windhoek, Namibia and comprise thirteen member states[8]. The ultimate objective of SADC is to build a region in which there will be a high degree of harmonization and rationalization to enable the pooling of resources to achieve collective self-reliance in order to improve the living standards of the people of the region. This objective is to be achieved through increased regional integration, built on democratic principles, equitable and sustainable development. The countries of Southern Africa have adopted a framework of  co-operation based on: “deeper economic co-operation and integration, on basis of balance, equity and mutual benefit, providing for enhanced investment and trade, and freer movement of factors of production, goods and services across national borders; common economic, political, social values and systems, enhancing enterprise and competitiveness, democracy and good governance, respect for the rule of law and the guarantee of human rights, popular participation and the alleviation of poverty; and regional solidarity, peace and security.

     

b.         The Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA): COMESA was founded in 1994 as a replacement to the former Preferential Trade Area (PTA) which had existed from the earlier days of 1981[9]. COMESA was established 'as an organisation of free independent sovereign states which have agreed to co-operate in developing their natural and human resources for the good of all their people' and as such it has a wide-ranging series of objectives which necessarily include in its priorities the promotion of peace and security in the region. It is made up of nineteen member states, and nine of the member states formed a FTA in 2000. In 2008, COMESA agreed to an expanded Free-trade zone including members of two other African trade blocs, the East African Community (EAC) and SADC  

 

c.         East African Community (EAC): The Treaty for establishment of the EAC was signed in 1999 and entered into force in 2000 with an initial membership of three nations. The membership however, increased to five since 2007, with Burundi and Rwanda becoming members of the EAC. The EAC aims at widening and deepening co-operation among the Partner States in, among others, political, economic and social fields for their mutual benefit. To this extent the EAC countries established a Customs Union in 2005 and are working towards the establishment of a Common Market by 2010, subsequently a monetary union by 2012 and ultimately a political federation of the East African States.

 

d.         Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS): ECOWAS is a regional grouping of fifteen West African countries, founded on May 28, 1975 with the signing of the Treaty of Lagos. It was founded to achieve "collective self-sufficiency" for the member states by means of economic and monetary union creating a single large trading bloc. The very slow progress towards this resulted in the treaty being revised in Cotonou on July 24, 1993 towards a closer collaboration. ECOWAS comprise two sub-regional groups. These are;

 

(i)                  The West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU), which is an organization of eight states of West Africa established in 1994 to promote economic integration among countries that share a common currency, the CFA franc, whose exchange rate is tied to that of the euro and is guaranteed by the French Treasury.

 

(ii)                The West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) on the other hand is a group of five countries in ECOWAS that plan to introduce a common currency, the Eco by the year 2015.  The WAMZ was formed in 2000 to establish a second currency and a single Central Bank. The eventual goal is for the CFA franc and Eco to merge, giving all of West Africa a single and stable currency. The West African Monetary Institute (WAMI) came into existence in 2001, to implement the WAMZ Program. Currently,WAMI is reorienting its strategic approach towards infrastructural development as evident in the Payments System Project within the Zone; providing Institutional support through the development of Trade Policy and Program for The Gambia; signing a MOU on Cross-border banking supervision, strengthening market and financial integration as well as statistical harmonization in the zone.

 

e          The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD): The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) in Eastern Africa which comprises seven member states was created in 1996 to supersede the Intergovernmental Authority on Drought and Development (IGADD), founded in 1986. The recurring and severe droughts and other natural disasters between 1974 and 1984 caused widespread famine, ecological degradation and economic hardship in the Eastern Africa region.

 

Although individual countries made substantial efforts to cope with the situation and received generous support from the international community, the magnitude and extent of the problem argued strongly for a regional approach to supplement national efforts. IGAD remains a key regional organization for achieving peace, prosperity and regional integration in the IGAD region. The IGAD mission is to assist and complement the efforts of the Member States to achieve, through increased cooperation: Food Security and environmental protection; Promotion and maintenance of peace, security and humanitarian affairs; as well as Economic cooperation and integration.

 

f.          Community of Sahel-Saharan States (CEN-SAD): CEN-SAD is a framework for Integration and Complementarity made up of twenty-three member states across Africa. The regional body of CEN-SAD was established on 4th February 1998 following the Conference of Leaders and Heads of States held in Tripoli (Great Jahamiriya).  The main aim of CEN-SAD is to work together with other RECs and the African Union (AU) in order to strengthen peace, security and achieve global economic, social development and stability.

 

g.         Arab Maghreb Union (AMU): The Treaty of the AMU was formed in 1989 by five Member States with the aim of strengthening all forms of ties among Member States in order to ensure regional stability and enhance policy coordination, as well as to introduce free circulation of goods, services and factors of production. Common defense and      non-interference in the domestic affairs of the partners are also key aspect of the Treaty. The agreement provide the possibility for other Arab and African countries to join the union at a later stage

 

 

 

4.3     Challenges

 

Regional integration process in Africa has faced several challenges. With regard to formal integration arrangements; there is often a substantial gap between the aspirations expressed in the treaties and the reality on the ground. The reasons are manifold but are usually attributed to lack of commitment towards enhanced integration which results in lack of supranational authority and weak regional coordination mechanisms. In many integration systems there is an imbalance of political and economic power among member countries. African integration efforts have had limited impact so far. This has been due to a number of constraints, including:

 

Inadequate Political Commitment:  This is one of the most serious constraints to integration. There has been inadequate practical political will to effectively implement agreed programmes for economic integration. This in part explains the seemingly contradictory or overlapping schemes for economic integration, the inadequate funding for economic integration organizations in terms of low priority being given to them, and the slow or little progress made in achieving stated objectives at the continental, regional and sub-regional levels. Because post-independence regional cooperation has its roots in political interests, rather than economic rationale, measures agreed in regional forums are rarely incorporated in national policies and plans. Implementation at the country level had been rather slow. This is clearly seen with a number of regional protocols, which are not ratified for years in several Member States due to fear of the short-term political and economic problems, a shortage of resources, inadequate expertise, or lack of interest.

 

Slow ratification of protocols and reluctant implementation of agreed plans:  Due to low political commitment and/or perceived or real losses and sacrifices involved, a number of countries have been reluctant to fully implement integration programmes on a timely basis. This has been partly caused by the lack of prior cost-benefit analysis and broad internal consultations on the part of the member countries concerned. In some cases, changes in the socio-economic and political dynamics within the member states involved have also militated against implementation of regionally agreed programmes, especially where socio-economic sacrifices are concerned.

 

Private Sector and Civil Society Participation: Regional integration issues and programmes are often discussed without the active participation of the constituencies most affected—the private sector and civil society. Lack of full private sector involvement at both planning and implementation stage has not elicited maximum deliberate input from this important sector, which usually has the financial resources and owns productive capacity. In most countries the private sector remains weak and is still not well organized. Civil society involvement has also been wanting.  In particular, expansion of markets, along with its challenges and opportunities for cross border formal and informal trade, is something in which the business community takes great interest. Similarly, the possibility of labor movements across national borders is something labor unions should help to shape.

 

Financial and Administrative Resources: Inadequate budgetary support, administrative and managerial weaknesses have adversely affected the effectiveness of RECs. They need strong, adequately trained, and independent management. And with few exceptions, the RECs have not made sufficient progress in establishing self-financing mechanisms. They rely on assessed contributions from their Member States, which are paid erratically, largely due to weak national budgetary positions. The lack of mechanisms and resources for effective planning, coordination, implementation, monitoring and pragmatic adjustment of programmes on the ground has significantly impacted on fast-tracking regional integration in Africa.

 

Overlapping Membership:  Many African countries belong to several regional groupings or sub-groupings that sometimes compete, conflict or overlap amongst themselves rather than complement each other. The proliferation of overlapping regional schemes which sometimes resulted in conflicting spheres of jurisdiction, where different organizations in the same region have the same mandate, or where a country belongs to two or more organizations that are pursuing different policies at a particular time; impede the process of region integration. This adds to the burden of harmonization and coordination, and is wasteful duplication in view of constrained resources and loss of efficiency advantages.

 

Figure 5: Africa: Overlapping membership in regional integration groups

 

 

 

 

4.4     What has worked?

 

Inspite of the challenges, progress has been made by Member States towards economic cooperation as well as accelerating the overall regional integration process especially in functional sectoral cooperation. Some of the activities and progress made by RECs in Africa relate to Infrastructure, Communicable Diseases, Water, Agriculture, and Education. Some of the achievements are discussed as follows:

 

A. Infrastructure: Infrastructure plays a fundamental role in the integration, development and poverty eradication process. Various infrastructural developments have taken place amongst the various RECs Member States including the following:

 

(a)             Energy- Access to sustainable and affordable energy supply is a key priority for RECs Energy programme. In West Africa, the ECOWAS Commission has anchored this thrust on the promotion of long-term cooperation in the effective development of regional energy resources and harmonized national energy sector development policies. Hence, the West Africa Gas Pipeline (WAGP) project, a 679- Kilometer long pipeline from the gas reserves in Nigeria’s Escravos of Niger Delta to Benin, Togo and Ghana started in 1982. The construction started in 2005 and the project has been fully completed. In the SADC region, the South Africa Power Pool (SAPP) was established in 1995 to expand electricity trade, reduce energy costs and provide greater stability for the region’s national utilities.

 

(b)             Roads, Railways Corridors- IGAD has played a role of advocacy to support the Member States in improving roads connecting countries, including the Djibouti- Addis Ababa road/rail links and the Isiolo-Moyale Corridor connecting Kenya and Ethiopia. In addition, steady progress has being maintained in the EAC on road and rail network, including the Mombasa-Katuna Road (Northern Corridor) and the Dar Es Salaam-Mutukula Road (Central Corridor).

 

(c)              Communication- The availability of communications networks characterized by a high degree of integration and interconnectivity is a guarantee for interregional trade. Communications services including the advent of advanced services are without doubt critical for remote business transactions including e-commerce, which would facilitate trade within the region and beyond. The use of communications and more recently information communications technologies (ICT) has gained prominence and importance as an integrating tool for the continent and also in promoting the socio economic development of the region. Regional Integration has served as a platform for effective mobile communication network. For instance, the MTN mobile network is in operation in Nigeria, Ghana, South Africa, etc, while Safaricom mobile company is prominent in Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania, providing employment for nationals of these countries and contributing significantly to government revenue. The use of roaming facilities on mobile phone has facilitated communication across the globe.

 

B. Financial Institutions: In the financial sector, the significant share of African banking system has contributed to closer financial linkages, thereby intensifying trade, economic and financial interdependence in the continent. Thus, as a consequence of the revitalization of the Nigerian banking sector, Nigerian banks now play a central role in Africa’s financial system. The spread of Nigerian banks across the continent demonstrates stronger ties towards financial sector integration and symbolizes potential gains to both Nigeria and the recipient country. For smooth running of the financial and services transactions, ECOWAS developed a Bank for Investment and Development (EBID), while EAC created the East African Development Bank to pursue programmes designed to enhance the bank’s capacity to play a more substantive and sustainable role as a regional development finance institution.

 

Furthermore, the African Development Bank has emerged as one of the lead financiers of regional integration in Africa, primarily through the African Development Fund (ADF) window. Similarly, PTA Bank was established in the COMESA region for promoting investments and providing trade financing facilities. In order to strengthen the financial system within the WAMZ countries, WAMI is undertaking a $23 million Payments System project in The Gambia, Guinea and Sierra Leone so that these countries financial system can be at par with that of Ghana and Nigeria. This is a step towards integrating the financial sector which serves as a recipe for regional integration.

 

C. Capacity Building:  There have been many activities on capacity building amongst the various RECs in Africa. These include identification of training needs, development of training concepts, mobilizing funds, organizing, conducting or facilitating workshops covering a range of activities including cross cutting themes like the global financial crisis, China’s role in Africa, information management, among others. Capacity building is perceived as one of the benefits of regional integration. Regional integration has also helped to strengthen the educational system in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). This is evident from the Masters and PhD programmes undertaken by the African Economic Research Consortium (AERC), which has trained thousands of students in the SSA. In addition, the Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration (GIMPA) has developed a comprehensive training and capacity building programme targeted to all categories of staff, in particular top personnel of African governments, regional economic communities and other stakeholders in African integration.

 

D. HIV/AIDS Prevention: To cope with the progression of HIV/AIDS in West Africa, the ECOWAS Commission in collaboration with UNESCO, the World Bank, UNICEF and UNAIDS identified focal points within the Ministries of Education of its region and assigned them the responsibility of developing effective responses to HIV/AIDS. ECCAS on the other hand, developed a strategic framework and plan of action including setting up of health information system and creating a regional fund for the fight against HIV/AIDS in Central Africa. IGAD created a Regional HIV and AIDS Partnership Programme (IRAPP) to fight against the spread of HIV and AIDS.

 

E. Free Movements of Persons: Free movements of persons include the abolition of visa and entry permit requirement and guaranteeing the right of residence and right of establishment. This has been exemplary in ECOWAS as no visa is required any where for nationals of Member States who travel across the ECOWAS region. COMESA has made great progress in the free movement of persons and has adopted two Protocols in that direction which includes; the Protocol on the Gradual relaxation and Eventual Elimination of visa and the Protocol on the free movement of Persons; Labour; Services; Right of Establishment and Residence. In the EAC region, progress has been made on the free movement of persons, with the operation of the EAC Passports allowing multiple entries to EAC citizens to travel freely within the EAC region for a period of six months.

 

5        The WAMZ Experience

 

The West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) which comprises the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Nigeria and Sierra Leone[10] was established in 2000 by the Authority of heads of State and Government at their summit meeting held in Bamako, Mali. A major objective for the establishment of the WAMZ was for the institutions, policies, political support, legal and administrative arrangements to serve as a catalyst which would hasten the attainment of monetary integration in the zone and the evolution of a common monetary authority for the realisation of the benefits of such integration. The ultimate objective of the WAMZ is to “fast track” the realisation of ECOWAS monetary integration project through helping to create conditions which would make the process of unification of similar UEMOA and WAMZ monetary integration arrangements relatively easier and faster than to do otherwise. The West African Monetary Institute (WAMI) was, therefore, established in January 2001 to commence preparatory work towards the introduction of a single currency and a common central bank in the WAMZ. It has the mandate of articulating a policy framework and developing institutional structure for the WAMZ. Its major functions include:

 

(i)                  Monitoring macroeconomic performance of and movement towards macroeconomic convergence by member countries and making appropriate observations and recommendations accordingly;

 

(ii)                Facilitating the harmonization of financial and banking rules and regulations of the various member countries with the Agreement and Statutes of the WAMZ. The harmonization would be useful in the conduct of monetary policy when a common central bank is established;

 

(iii)               Working out the modalities and analyzing the technicalities of establishing a common central bank and introducing a common currency. WAMI is also to articulate the monetary policy objectives and developing the appropriate monetary policy instruments for the envisaged common central bank.

 

(iv)              Facilitating the sensitization of the citizenry of member countries on the monetary integration process and eventual introduction of the single currency in the zone.

 

Towards the end of 2002, it became clear that the proposed launching of the WAMZ monetary union in January 2003 was not feasible, because of the low level of macroeconomic convergence, amidst the progress made on policy harmonization and designed of the architecture of the monetary union. Consequently, the Authority of Heads of State and Government at its meeting in Conakry in 2002 shifted the launch date to 2005 to allow sufficient progress to be made on all aspects of the programme. The Authority of Heads of State and Government also postponed the launch date to 2009. They approved an expanded work programme for facilitating the emergence of the monetary union as scheduled. A detailed work plan, the Banjul Action Plan (BAP) was prepared by WAMI for implementing the new WAMZ work programme.

 

The BAP identified for each aspect of the programme the objectives, components, activities, time-frame for completion and the responsibilities for implementation. Significant progress was made for the launch of the monetary union in 2009. However, WAMI undertook a detailed study in accessing the countries readiness for the monetary union in 2009, and the conclusion from the report showed that the target date cannot be met because of slippages in satisfying the macroeconomic convergence criteria and other structural bench marks. The authority of the Heads of State and Government in its Meeting in Abuja, Nigeria on 23rd May, 2009 took a resolution to postpone the launch date to on/before January 2015.

 

Progress towards the Achievement of a Single Currency

 

Despite the persistent postponement of the launch date for the introduction of the currency, WAMI has made significant progress towards the realization of the WAMZ programme. On macroeconomic convergence, WAMI as part of its mandate normally undertakes bi-annual multilateral surveillance mission to the member states to assess their macroeconomic performance in line with the macroeconomic convergence criteria as well as the structural and institutional benchmarks, and providing recommendations therein. These surveillance missions have helped to reveal the macroeconomic performance status of member countries, and act as signals to poor performing countries to re-double their efforts so as to catch up with good performing countries. The essence of implementing the convergence criteria is to maintain macroeconomic stability within member states, with the aim of minimizing the effect of asymmetric shocks once the Union kinks-off. Macroeconomic stability would enhance business confidence and encourage private sector development.

 

On the design of the architecture for monetary union, WAMI was able to obtain a loan amounting to $23 million for the development of the payments system infrastructure in the Gambia, Guinea and Sierra Leone in order to bring them to par with those obtaining in Ghana and Nigeria. The development of the Payments system would facilitate cross-border high-value payments to support the implementation of the West African Central Bank (WACB) monetary policy, and maintain efficiency in the banking sector, through timely payment and transfer of funds. This situation would be strongly favourable to the business community and the private sector in general

 

Furthermore, WAMI initiated a process of evaluating the statistical capacities of the five member states of the WAMZ to report on the four primary and six secondary surveillance criteria. This process produced the WAMZ Statistics Harmonization Action Plan, which was formally adopted by the WAMZ Statistics Experts Group. The Action Plan anticipated the production of a comprehensive, itemized and budgeted summary of improvements needed by WAMZ statistics producers to enable convergence surveillance.  In this regard, WAMI has been collaborating closely with the statistical harmonization programme of the ECOWAS Commission’s Monetary Cooperation Programme. The focus of the ECOWAS Programme has been to ensure that member states’ CPI and GDP statistics are comparable through the adoption of a common presentational platform and classification systems.

 

WAMI is currently working on a project on Financial Sector Integration and cross border banking supervision. This would provide the basis and enabling environment for the implementation of a robust single monetary policy. It would also ensure the reduction of transaction costs, greater diversification and risk reduction, and financial markets efficiency. This would build investors confidence and hence trigger private sector development with the ultimate goal of achieving sustainable economic growth.

 

The WAMZ programme also includes issues relating to the actualization of a single economic space. In pursuit of creating a single economic space for the WAMZ, WAMI in collaboration with ECOWAS has established a free trade area involving factor mobility, lowering of barriers to the free flow of eligible goods and persons, and the adoption of common external tariffs. This was implemented through existing agreements to which countries are signatory to, in particular, the protocols on free movement of goods and persons, the ECOWAS Trade Liberalization Scheme (ETLS), the adoption of the Common External Tariff (CET) and the harmonization of indirect taxes within the zone. In addition to the establishment of a CET, the single market scheme also envisages the harmonization of indirect taxes and investment regimes in ECOWAS.

 

Overall, the record of progress regarding the compliance with the BAP, although insufficient to launch a monetary union, bodes well for the future success of the common currency. An enhancement of this success would ultimately depend upon strong commitment and political will to carry through with the necessary policies and programmes to ensure the creation of flexible economic structures in each of the member countries that would stimulate both nominal and real convergence across the zone. The broadening of the WAMZ programme to include establishment of a customs union, regional development projects, and financial sector integration among others effectively extended the mandate from single currency project to full economic and monetary integration.


6          Towards a Developmental and holistic approach to Regional Integration

 

From the discussion of Africa’s experience, there is need to have a developmental and holistic approach to regional integration. Regional Integration should be pursued as a means to promoting Africa’s development. Regional Integration is not an end in itself, but a process to support broad-based economic growth, enhanced productive efficiency; develop infrastructure network; strengthening the link to the outside world; promoting regional peace and security.

 

  Table 7: Typology of Regional Integration Initiatives

 

Regionalism

 

 

 

i.                     Market Enlargement: Regional Integration should be oriented towards market enlargement in order to enjoy the benefit of economies of large scale production. It is usually envisaged that big is beautiful, and hence market enlargement should also involve the creation of a single economic space. Furthermore, regional integration should encourage cross-border trade in order to gain from trade diversion and creation and enjoy the benefit of comparative advantage and efficiency. It should involve the development, harmonization and integrating of national and regional financial markets, including elimination of barriers and reducing risks affecting the free movement of labour and capital, especially in terms of cross-border and foreign direct investment.

 

ii.                   Private Sector Engagement: There should be full private sector involvement at both planning and implementation stages in the integration process. The private sector is perceived to have the financial resources and owns productive capacity, and hence their involvement in regional integration arrangements could have significant impact in moving the integration process forward. In this regard, the integration process should be inclusive and participatory.

 

iii.                  Regional Public Good: Regional integration should be seen as a regional public good; whose use by one country does not (or hardly) reduces the use by others. Regional public goods (RPGs) are thus conceptualized as goods or services which display spill-over benefits to countries in the neighborhood of the producing country, usually in the same region, since they are non-excludable and exhibit non-rivalry of consumption. In this regard, the provision of regional public good (regional Integration) should be considered as a collective effort involving all beneficiaries, rather than seen as a single country’s role.

 

iv.                 Infrastructural Development: Infrastructure plays a fundamental role in integration, development and poverty eradication processes. There is need to strengthen activities in infrastructural development in order to promote sustainable development of African economies. Infrastructural development could be in the area of roads, railways, electricity, water supply, communication network, among others.

 

v.                   Macroeconomic Convergence: Furthermore, the process of Regional Integration should ensure strong macroeconomic convergence. In most Regional Economic Communities, Member States need to meet certain requirements (macroeconomic convergence criteria) as pre-requisite towards integration. For instance, the WAMZ has four (4) primary and six (6) secondary criteria which serves as a sine qua non for the formation of a monetary union.

 

vi.                 Political Commitment: There is the need to have a strong political commitment by member countries. The ratification and implementation of treaties and protocols, without inefficiencies, lapses or reversals should be given utmost priority.  Also, in order to speed up the process of regional integration, it is necessary to strengthen and empower the institutions that implement and monitor regional integration programmes both at the regional and country levels. Any central authority overseeing convergence and integration should be independent of all national authorities’ influences.

 

vii.                Capacity Building: Capacity for comprehensive and consistent planning, policy formulation and implementation at the national level should be strengthened to reduce the risks of conflicting policy objectives, and enhance synchrony and complementarity. Capacity also needs to be sharpened to effectively tackle all stages of integration: from planning, to coordination, implementation, monitoring and evaluation of impact. This calls for human and institutional capacity building covering planning, policy analysis/formulation, implementation and monitoring of programmes.

 

 

6.1              The SANE as Africa’s Growth Pole

 

The SANE – South Africa, Algeria, Nigeria, and Egypt – represents almost a fifth and a third of the Continent’s land mass and population respectively, and accounts for slightly more than half of Africa’s total GDP in both nominal and purchasing power parity terms. The remaining 49 African countries, with two-thirds of the region’s population, have 45 percent of the continent’s GDP. Remarkably, the SANE also shares half of Africa’s exports, trade balance, foreign direct investment, and foreign reserves. The relative economic size and importance of the SANE is even more pronounced at the sub-regional levels.

 

The SANE has four distinct comparative advantages in becoming regional growth poles for Africa — resource endowments, geography, human capital and market size[11]. First, the SANE are resource-rich countries, with natural resource rents. Algeria and Nigeria alone account for almost half of Africa’s proven hydro-carbon reserves and production, with combined reserves of $130 billion, equivalent to half of their GDP. The second factor in favour of the SANE is physical geography. They are coastal states, which could generate positive externalities by providing access to external markets to benefit their land-locked neighboring countries. With South Africa in the South and part of Central, Algeria in the North-west, Nigeria in the West and Central, and Egypt in the North-east, the physical geography of the SANE could foster openness to both intra-African trade and global trade.

 

The third factor is that SANE is endowed with human capital and accounts for a third of Africa’s population. This implies SANE is labour intensive, and provide adequate input into the production process. The fourth factor in favour of the SANE is market size, which provides opportunities for firms to reap increasing returns to scale and network effects. Average per capita income is three times higher in the SANE relative to the rest of Africa. Although Nigeria’s per capita income is lower than the African average, its middle class provides a market size which is large enough compared to most other African countries. Africa’s population is roughly divided equally among the SANE, the sixteen land-locked countries, and the remaining spatially dispersed 33 smaller coastal countries

 

The interaction of the four factors – endowments, geography, human capital, and market     size – gives the SANE natural advantage to become economic growth poles for Africa

 

There are no secret recipes for translating economic potentials to prosperity. In the case of the SANE, the missing ingredients have been the low level and productivity of investment in institutions, people, infrastructure, and knowledge both nationally and regionally. With external debts at low level, about 5 percent of GDP, the SANE should encourage the development of effective institutions to promote regional peace and stability, financial capital, mobility of labour, and intra-African trade and integration. Although intra- African trade remains below ten percent, trade among the SANE has been on the increase. While large population size provide a critical mass of labour force, the accumulation of human capital through education is essential for innovation and participation in the global knowledge economy.

 

A collective approach led by the SANE countries is necessary to providing public goods with regional externalities including science and technology, innovation, climate and environment, and natural resource management. The SANE could play more pivotal role in being the voice of Africa in regional and global institutions. Already, the SANE and Senegal have been the driving force spearheading the New Partnership for African Development (NEPAD). More than ever, now is the time for the SANE to take the lead in facilitating regional energy, transport, and telecommunication infrastructure projects, with the potential to lower one of the major barriers to the region’s competitiveness

 

Figure 6: SANE Economies

 

 

 

 

7                      Conclusion

 

The benefits of regional integration, and indeed globalization, remain a critical part of Africa’s development strategy. Africa’s regional integration is rooted in the continent’s geography, geology, demography, history and economy. Our experience with regional integration provides modest achievements and complex constraints/challenges.

 

The history of regional integration transcend from an inward-looking regional strategy characterized by political decolonization, interventionist and protectionism in the 1960s and 1970s to a more outward-oriented framework aimed at achieving stronger bargaining power and closer integration of Africa into the global world economy. This new dimension of open regionalism, led to the adoption of the Lagos Plan of Action (LPA) in 1980. The urge towards achieving sustainable development resulted in the signing of the Abuja Treaty in 1991 that sanctioned the establishment of the African Economic Communities (AECs), followed by the establishment of the African Union and NEPAD

 

The current wave of interest in regional integration is moving towards developmental and holistic approach, characterized by market enlargement, private sector engagement, infrastructural development, macroeconomic convergence as well as conceptualizing regional integration as a regional public good.

 

Being the economic power house for Africa, SANE should be more proactive in serving as the continent’s growth poles in unlocking Africa’s potential for economic prosperity, since it has the potential of spurring development within their immediate environments, and ultimately, all over Africa, due to its size, scale and scope.

 

The era of isolated tiny national economies has to give way to strategic alliances that harness knowledge-and-resource-based comparative advantages through integration. This however does not come effortlessly and at no cost: a lot of dedicated planning and hard work must be put in first. Much progress has been made by member states towards regional integration. However, there is need to intensify the Developmental Approach especially in the areas of infrastructure, private sector participation, open regionalism, market integration, monetary and financial integration. This can be achieved through greater resolve, speed and effectiveness in translating the good intensions into concrete programme that can be implemented, monitorable and produce results-oriented actions on the ground.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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[1] A Paper to be presented at the 12th Annual African Business Conference, at the Harvard Business School, Boston, USA, February 19th-20th, 2010. I would like to thank Abu Bakar Tarawalie for research assistance in preparing this paper.

 

[2] http://www.eoearth.org/article/ land resources in Africa

[3] AfDB, African Development Report, 2007

[5] AfDB working paper, 2008

[6] See United Nations Economic Development in Africa Report, 2009

[7] NEPAD, 2001

[8] http:// www.sadc.int

[9] http:// www.comesa.int

[10] Liberia has submitted a letter, expressing interest in joining the WAMZ programme

[11] See Temitope W. Oshikoya (2007) for detailed discussion